Segesta vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
59.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SEG
0 - 0
RUD
38%
25%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SEG
2 - 1
HNK
25%
27%
47%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
NKD
0 - 0
SEG
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BIS
2 - 0
SEG
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SEG
0 - 2
HNG
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SPL
1 - 1
HKS
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
SPL
2 - 2
LOK
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ZAG
2 - 1
SPL
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPL
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SPL
2 - 0
SLA
64%
22%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |