Seefeld vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SEE
1 - 2
LIE
59%
22%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
LAU
3 - 0
SEE
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
SEE
2 - 3
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
NOB
0 - 1
SEE
79%
15%
6%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SEE
0 - 4
GCZ
10%
17%
73%
|
33 | 78 | 45 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
LUG
4 - 1
WIN
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
WIN
4 - 1
LAU
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
FCG
0 - 1
WIN
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 3
THU
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
LAC
0 - 2
WIN
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |