CS Sedan vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Sedan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2009 |
SED
2 - 0
TOU
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 3
SED
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
SED
2 - 3
VAN
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
CLE
3 - 0
SED
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
SED
2 - 2
LEN
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 1
GIR
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
LYO
3 - 1
CAE
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CAE
2 - 0
SOC
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
REN
1 - 0
CAE
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CAE
3 - 1
LMU
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |