Sedan II vs Aulnoye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sedan II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SED
2 - 0
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
ESW
1 - 0
SED
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 1
SED
27%
24%
48%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SED
2 - 1
AIL
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
IRI
0 - 0
SED
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AUL
2 - 0
ESW
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AUL
3 - 2
AMI
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
AUL
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AUL
1 - 0
CAL
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
AUL
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |