Sedan II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sedan II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 1
SED
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SED
1 - 1
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SED
3 - 1
REI
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ROY
2 - 0
SED
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SED
1 - 1
STG
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 1
AMI
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 0
FEI
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 1
ARR
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ARR
3 - 3
IRI
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 1
ARR
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |