Security Systems vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Security Systems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
POL
0 - 0
SES
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SES
1 - 3
EXT
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -12 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GAL
0 - 1
SES
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MOW
3 - 3
SES
30%
26%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
SES
1 - 1
BOT
80%
15%
5%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PRI
0 - 2
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
BOT
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -9 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
POL
0 - 0
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 2
BOT
20%
24%
57%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
EXT
1 - 4
BOT
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |