Sebat Gençlik vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
13º
2º
43
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sebat Gençlik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AFK
4 - 3
SGS
44%
22%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SGS
3 - 0
ANK
16%
22%
62%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +9 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
KAS
2 - 1
SGS
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SUL
1 - 5
SGS
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SGS
2 - 1
SIO
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +3 |
Matches
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
FET
0 - 1
TBP
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TBP
1 - 0
ANK
16%
22%
62%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | +4 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SUL
4 - 0
TBP
67%
19%
15%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TBP
2 - 0
SIO
14%
18%
68%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +4 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
ZON
2 - 3
TBP
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | +1 |