FK Sabail vs Zira FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
28.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
7º
58
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
FAK
1 - 0
SEB
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
UCL
0 - 0
SEB
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 0
SEB
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
SEB
6 - 0
SHA
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
SEB
3 - 0
FKQ
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 1
ARA
42%
24%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
ZIR
0 - 1
QAR
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
ZIR
2 - 1
TUR
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 0
ZIR
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ZIR
0 - 0
ARA
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |