FK Sabail vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
9º
22
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 65 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 58 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 1
SEB
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 0
SHA
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 2
SEB
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 4
SFK
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 1
SEB
62%
21%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 4
TUR
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SUM
0 - 1
QAR
36%
26%
39%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FKN
1 - 1
SUM
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SUM
0 - 2
ZIR
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
SUM
38%
28%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |