FK Sabail vs Shamakhi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
9º
17
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 65 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 58 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 2
SEB
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 4
SFK
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 1
SEB
62%
21%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
SEB
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SEB
4 - 0
FCK
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 2
TUR
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 2
SHA
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
SUM
38%
28%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
FKN
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZIR
0 - 1
SHA
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |