FK Sabail vs Sabah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
9º
28
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 65 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 58 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 21% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 1
SEB
62%
21%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
SEB
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SEB
4 - 0
FCK
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 1
SEB
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SEB
1 - 1
FKN
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sabah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SFK
2 - 2
TUR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 3
SFK
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SFK
3 - 1
SUM
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FKN
0 - 2
SFK
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SFK
0 - 1
STP
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |