FK Sabail vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
55.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
10º
9º
90
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 1
SEB
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
SUM
2 - 0
SEB
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
SEB
3 - 2
SFK
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
2 - 1
SEB
68%
20%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 1
SEB
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 0
QAR
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
QAR
1 - 0
FKQ
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
QAR
2 - 2
FKQ
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
FKN
0 - 4
QAR
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 0
ZIR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |