FK Sabail vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
9º
21
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 65 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 58 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
18% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ZIR
4 - 1
SEB
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ZIR
1 - 0
SEB
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SEB
0 - 3
FKN
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 1
SEB
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 3
FKQ
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FKN
0 - 0
TUR
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SIV
1 - 2
FKN
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FKN
0 - 1
SFK
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SEB
0 - 3
FKN
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FKN
5 - 1
FCK
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |