FK Sabail vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
7º
56
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FKQ
0 - 1
SEB
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 2
SFK
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 0
ARA
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 3
SEB
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 1
QAR
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FKN
0 - 2
QAR
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 1
FKN
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 1
FKN
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
FKN
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 1
FKN
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |