Səbail II vs Araz PFK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
11º
6º
69
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Səbail II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 1
SFK
60%
21%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
SFK
1 - 0
TUR
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
ZIK
2 - 2
SFK
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 2
FKS
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 1
SFK
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 0
FKQ
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
FKQ
5 - 0
ARA
59%
21%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
ENE
1 - 0
ARA
19%
26%
55%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 3
MOI
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 1
ARA
22%
27%
52%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |