Sport Sébaco vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
9º
9º
21
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 3
DEP
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 2
CDS
8%
14%
78%
|
58 | 8 | 50 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
CDS
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 3
EST
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 2
DIR
31%
26%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
DIR
7 - 0
UNA
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 0
UNA
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 3
MAN
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 2
UNA
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 0
WAL
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |