Sport Sébaco vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
9º
9º
35
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 2
DIR
31%
26%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 1
CDS
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
3 - 3
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ORM
1 - 1
CDS
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 2
CDS
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
WAL
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
DIR
1 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
EST
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
AME
23%
24%
54%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |