Sport Sébaco vs Matagalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 4
EST
23%
23%
55%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
EST
3 - 0
CDS
63%
19%
19%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
EST
3 - 1
CDS
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
CDS
4 - 0
DMY
86%
10%
4%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CDS
1 - 1
WAL
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
2 - 5
JUV
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 2
MFC
51%
21%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JAP
2 - 1
MFC
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MFC
2 - 3
DIR
25%
28%
47%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 3
EST
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |