Copa Nicaragua 1/16
Global 19-2
Sport Sébaco vs FC San Marcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CDS
3 - 0
EST
23%
26%
52%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
WAL
4 - 1
CDS
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CDS
4 - 3
JUV
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
JAP
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 7
CDS
51%
22%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
FC San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 7
CDS
51%
22%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
UNA
3 - 1
FCS
31%
21%
48%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
UNA
60%
20%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
WAL
10 - 0
FCS
49%
22%
29%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 1
WAL
29%
22%
49%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |