Sport Sébaco vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
4º
3º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EST
5 - 0
CDS
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 4
CDS
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 0
ORM
89%
8%
3%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
JAP
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 2
CDS
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 0
UNA
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 2
WAL
14%
25%
62%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 1
UNA
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
MFC
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |