Sport Sébaco vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
4º
3º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EST
5 - 0
CDS
74%
17%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 4
CDS
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 0
ORM
89%
8%
3%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
JAP
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 2
CDS
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 0
UNA
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 2
WAL
14%
25%
62%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 1
UNA
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
MFC
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |