Sport Sébaco vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
7º
5º
12
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
CDS
67%
19%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDS
3 - 0
UNA
51%
23%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
CDS
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
JAP
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
CDS
73%
16%
11%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
UNA
3 - 0
DEP
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 0
RSA
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 3
WAL
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 2
JAP
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |