Sport Sébaco vs ART Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
5º
4º
5
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 14 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 14 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 12 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 7 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 6 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 6 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
14% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
86% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 89.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
CDS
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
WAL
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 2
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
CDS
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
RSA
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 2
JAP
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 0
RSA
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
UNA
3 - 1
JAP
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
JAP
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 2
MFC
40%
24%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |