Seattle Sounders II vs Reno 1868 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seattle Sounders II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
SEA
0 - 2
SPK
24%
24%
51%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
LAG
5 - 3
SEA
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
LVG
4 - 1
SEA
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SEA
2 - 1
OKC
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
FFC
4 - 0
SEA
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
REN
3 - 0
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
REN
1 - 0
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
USA
0 - 2
REN
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
ORA
2 - 2
REN
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
REN
1 - 1
FFC
59%
22%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |