River Plate vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CEN
5 - 2
RIP
39%
27%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
FLU
2 - 3
RIP
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
RIP
1 - 1
FLU
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
RIP
3 - 3
CEN
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
TRE
1 - 0
RIP
69%
20%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
CSA
3 - 1
TRE
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TRE
2 - 1
FLU
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
TRE
4 - 1
CEN
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 1
TRE
25%
28%
48%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |