Freising vs SV Erlbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+169%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 1
TPF
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 1
TSV
85%
11%
4%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 1
ASD
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 2
VFB
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 3
FRE
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ERL
1 - 0
TSK
34%
23%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ERL
2 - 3
DEI
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TSV
0 - 4
ERL
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ERL
1 - 3
TVA
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
VFB
3 - 2
ERL
66%
18%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |