Freising vs SV Erlbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+133%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 1
SPK
79%
13%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
CTR
0 - 0
FRE
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 3
DEI
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
DJK
1 - 2
FRE
45%
23%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 3
FCT
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
ERL
0 - 1
FRO
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
FRO
0 - 0
ERL
70%
17%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 0
ERL
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
ERL
0 - 1
LAN
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ERL
0 - 1
DEI
26%
23%
52%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |