Decisão vs Vera Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decisão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
AFO
2 - 0
SED
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MAI
1 - 2
SED
22%
21%
58%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SED
3 - 0
SSS
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
SED
1 - 1
FEC
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
CEN
3 - 2
SED
54%
23%
22%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
VCR
9 - 1
MAI
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VCR
2 - 2
ISC
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VCR
0 - 2
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
VCR
31%
26%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 1
CEN
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |