Decisão vs Ferroviário do Cabo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decisão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
CEN
3 - 2
SED
54%
23%
22%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PES
1 - 1
SED
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SED
0 - 0
MAI
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
PET
1 - 1
SED
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
SED
14%
18%
68%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário do Cabo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
FEC
2 - 1
SSS
21%
24%
56%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FEC
2 - 2
CAB
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 1
FEC
65%
22%
13%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
IFC
1 - 0
FEC
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FEC
1 - 1
PER
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |