Decisão vs AD Cabense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decisão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 1
SED
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SED
5 - 0
PER
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SED
1 - 2
PER
46%
23%
32%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
ACA
2 - 1
SED
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
FEC
0 - 3
SED
20%
20%
61%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AD Cabense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 1
ACA
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FEC
2 - 2
CAB
49%
24%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CAB
0 - 3
PER
19%
23%
59%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ADJ
2 - 1
CAB
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CAB
2 - 2
LIM
22%
25%
53%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |