Unión Club vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1988 |
CUL
0 - 1
AST
27%
27%
46%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
SMA
1 - 3
AST
11%
23%
66%
|
24 | 6 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
AST
2 - 4
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
CAY
0 - 0
AST
33%
27%
40%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
AST
2 - 1
LCF
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1988 |
CAS
3 - 1
SMA
83%
13%
4%
|
21 | 5 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
CAY
0 - 1
CAS
47%
26%
27%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAR
62%
24%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
ALB
1 - 4
CAS
28%
28%
43%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
CAS
2 - 1
NAV
63%
22%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |