SDO Bussum vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SDO Bussum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
SDO
2 - 2
BEQ
50%
22%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
HOL
1 - 5
SDO
36%
25%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SDO
1 - 2
MSC
74%
15%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ACH
7 - 2
SDO
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -3 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SDO
2 - 0
RKZ
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 0
ARC
24%
21%
54%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ARC
4 - 2
ROD
65%
19%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
HED
0 - 2
ARC
34%
22%
43%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ARC
2 - 1
ZUI
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
HCF
2 - 4
ARC
5%
10%
85%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |