SD Torina vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
11º
11º
16
8º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 67 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 66 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 51 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 45 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 38 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
39.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 18 |
18º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 82% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Torina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SDT
1 - 4
CAY
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BEZ
1 - 0
SDT
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SDT
1 - 2
REV
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SDT
2 - 0
COL
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
SDT
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GAM
1 - 2
NAV
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 2
NAV
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NAV
3 - 2
ATM
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NAV
0 - 3
CAY
17%
22%
61%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BEZ
3 - 1
NAV
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |