Copa Verde Last 16
Global 2-2
SD Sparta vs Real Ariquemes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
SDS
0 - 2
INT
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
SDS
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SDS
1 - 1
GUR
56%
21%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GUR
0 - 4
SDS
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SDS
1 - 1
TOC
59%
20%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 1
LON
2%
8%
90%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
BRO
0 - 1
RDA
60%
20%
21%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
RDA
0 - 0
BRO
27%
23%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
RDA
0 - 1
PRI
33%
23%
45%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
RDA
0 - 0
GEN
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |