SD Sarriana vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
70.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Sarriana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
SIL
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
BET
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
GRA
4 - 1
SAR
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
GRA
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BOU
5 - 1
SAR
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OUR
0 - 0
LUG
34%
26%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 0
SPO
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
VIV
0 - 1
LUG
9%
18%
73%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 1
CEL
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 0
DEP
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |