SD Sarriana vs CD Valladares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
8º
4º
3
2º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
4 | 67 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 65 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 61 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
|
1º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 52 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 47 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 45 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 45 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 43 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 43 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 39 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 37 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 28 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 27 |
18º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Sarriana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ARO
0 - 1
SAR
52%
25%
23%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 4
LUG
10%
19%
71%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
SIL
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
BET
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
GRA
4 - 1
SAR
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
CD Valladares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 0
ALO
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CDV
3 - 1
UDA
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CUL
1 - 3
CDV
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDV
4 - 0
RIB
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 5
CDV
62%
21%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |