Ponferradina U19 vs Fútbol Peña U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-82%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
5º
28
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
67% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 1
PON
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PON
3 - 2
COL
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 4
PON
64%
19%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
UDS
1 - 0
PON
62%
20%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
PUE
37%
23%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fútbol Peña U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
CHA
39%
23%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 1
PEÑ
42%
23%
35%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
UNI
21%
21%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CDP
29%
23%
49%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 0
PEÑ
56%
21%
24%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |