SD Nueva Montaña U19 vs Noja Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
18º
16º
1
14º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 78 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 72 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 58 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 55 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 51 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 51 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 49 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 49 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 46 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 43 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 40 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 30 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
0 | 30 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 29 |
17º
|
20% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 23 |
18º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 53% |
|
Relegation
|
46.5% | 47% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Nueva Montaña U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 1
SDN
76%
14%
10%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SDN
0 - 2
ATL
34%
22%
44%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CLU
5 - 1
SDN
64%
18%
19%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SDN
1 - 4
MAS
10%
15%
75%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SDN
0 - 5
CFV
59%
20%
21%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Noja Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SDN
2 - 2
PEA
18%
19%
63%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SDP
4 - 1
SDN
65%
17%
18%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SDN
0 - 1
CDL
31%
23%
46%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CDB
2 - 0
SDN
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |