SD Nueva Montaña U19 vs Marina Sport Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
74.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
18º
15º
9
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
9 | 80 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 71 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 66 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 60 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 58 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 52 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 48 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 46 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 46 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 45 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 39 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 39 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 32 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 30 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 30 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 26 |
18º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 64% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 36% |
|
Relegation
|
34.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Nueva Montaña U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SDN
0 - 5
CFV
59%
20%
21%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MAS
6 - 0
SDN
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SDN
2 - 1
ATL
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
SDN
40%
22%
39%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SDN
2 - 1
CLU
47%
21%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marina Sport Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
ASN
1 - 2
MAS
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MAS
6 - 0
SDN
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
REA
3 - 0
MAS
48%
22%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAS
2 - 1
CDM
61%
20%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PEA
0 - 2
MAS
19%
19%
63%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |