SD Negreira vs Sporting Estrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 4
NEG
30%
21%
50%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
NEG
5 - 0
TOR
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
NEG
42%
22%
36%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NEG
7 - 0
CRU
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SLV
1 - 0
NEG
37%
22%
42%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Estrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
EST
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
CAL
50%
22%
29%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BER
5 - 2
EST
56%
21%
22%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
TOR
39%
23%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
VCC
1 - 0
EST
41%
24%
35%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |