SD Negreira vs CD Estradense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
NEG
0 - 1
SOM
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
NEG
20%
24%
57%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
NEG
0 - 0
PON
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
STA
0 - 2
NEG
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
NEG
0 - 1
MES
74%
16%
9%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CD Estradense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
ORD
1 - 1
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
ALO
48%
24%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
BER
1 - 1
EST
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
RCF
22%
25%
53%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SOM
0 - 0
EST
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |