SD Negreira vs Bergantiños FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
RCF
1 - 2
NEG
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
NEG
3 - 2
EST
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
NEG
0 - 1
SOM
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
NEG
20%
24%
57%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
NEG
0 - 0
PON
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
ORD
25%
27%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ALO
2 - 1
BER
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
RCF
4 - 0
BER
86%
11%
3%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
BER
1 - 1
EST
32%
26%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SOM
1 - 0
BER
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |