SD Negreira vs Atlético B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
LEG
3 - 0
NEG
65%
22%
13%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ALC
0 - 2
NEG
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
NEG
1 - 0
ALC
28%
26%
46%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
CDO
1 - 0
NEG
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
SSR
1 - 0
NEG
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ATB
1 - 1
SSR
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ATB
0 - 1
VEC
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
ULP
3 - 0
ATB
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ATB
2 - 0
LAN
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
RAY
0 - 2
ATB
63%
23%
15%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +2 |