Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-1
Michelín vs CE Europa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Michelín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
SDM
3 - 1
TUD
49%
24%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
OSA
5 - 1
SDM
84%
12%
4%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
SDM
1 - 1
TAL
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
AND
3 - 1
SDM
58%
23%
20%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
SDM
2 - 4
VAD
19%
24%
58%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
EUR
3 - 2
TER
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
FCB
2 - 1
EUR
84%
12%
5%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
EUR
2 - 0
JUP
78%
15%
7%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
CEM
0 - 1
EUR
41%
29%
30%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
EUR
4 - 0
ATB
56%
25%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |