Leioa U19 vs Indautxu Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+339%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
2º
26
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 74 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 61 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 60 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 38 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 25 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
27% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leioa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 6
LEI
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BCF
2 - 4
LEI
25%
23%
53%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 1
HER
61%
21%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 0
LEI
50%
21%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
LEI
4 - 1
DUR
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Indautxu Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
IND
2 - 2
TOL
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
IND
5 - 1
REA
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 3
IND
79%
12%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
IND
32%
23%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
BCF
50%
22%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |