SD Juazeirense vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
5 - 0
SDJ
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SDJ
1 - 2
FLU
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
JAC
1 - 0
SDJ
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
SDJ
3 - 0
SAM
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 1
SDJ
81%
15%
5%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
BAH
20%
24%
57%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
JEC
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
5 - 0
AEC
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 0
VIT
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
GAL
0 - 3
VIT
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |