SD Juazeirense vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 0
CSA
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
SDJ
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SER
6 - 1
SDJ
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 1
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SDJ
2 - 0
VIT
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
SDJ
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 0
CSA
44%
28%
29%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
FEI
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |