SD Juazeirense vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CFC
2 - 0
SDJ
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
4 - 1
SDJ
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SDJ
1 - 0
JUA
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SDJ
2 - 2
SER
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 0
SDJ
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
FLU
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SER
0 - 0
VIT
33%
25%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FEI
3 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |