Série D Brazil Ronda final 1/16
Global 1-1
SD Juazeirense vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
SDJ
28%
25%
46%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 1
ITA
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 0
SDJ
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 1
BAH
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 3
SDJ
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
SDJ
28%
25%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 1
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
CAU
3 - 4
UNI
20%
22%
59%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
ABC
25%
25%
51%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |