SD Juazeirense vs Serrano SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 0
SDJ
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 1
SDJ
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SDJ
1 - 1
ALA
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
SDJ
1 - 0
BAH
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
SDJ
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 1
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
VIT
10%
18%
72%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
89%
9%
3%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SER
2 - 2
CFC
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
SDJ
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |