Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 5-3
SD Juazeirense vs Jacobina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 2
SDJ
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SDJ
0 - 1
COR
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
SDJ
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SDJ
3 - 0
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 1
SDJ
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 2
SDJ
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
JEC
45%
25%
31%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
JEC
3 - 0
MUR
50%
24%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
ARN
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 1
JEC
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |